Forex Forecast: What awaits the Canadian dollar, British pound and other currencies in the coming years?

currency market

Финансовые рынки находятся в постоянном движении, и прогнозы ведущих банков играют ключевую роль в понимании будущих тенденций. Недавние аналитические отчеты от CIBC, Rabobank, UBS, Bank of America и RBC Capital Markets предлагают интересный прогноз форекс для ряда ключевых валютных пар. Давайте разберем эти прогнозы, чтобы понять, чего ожидать от канадского доллара, британского фунта, японской иены и других валют.

Canadian dollar: expectations of reducing bets and support from the Fed

CIBChe looks optimistic at the prospects of the Canadian dollar. The bank expects thatCanada Bank will resume the interest rate reduction cycle. This, it would seem, can put pressure on the currency, but CIBC emphasizes thatreducing rates by the US Federal Reserve System (Fed) will provide significant support to the Canadian dollar.

Given the overall expectation of the weakening of the US dollar, CIBC predicts that the coupleUSD/CAD will weaken to 1.35 by the end of 2025, and by the end of 2026 it will drop to1,33. This means that the Canadian dollar, according to CIBC, will be strengthened in relation to the American one.

British Pound: Restrained Prospects and Pressure on Currency

Currency market strategists fromRabobankdemonstrate a more cautious approach to British pound sterling. They predictreducing a pound rate to 1.33 with respect to the US dollar for three months. This indicates the expected short -term weakening of the pound.

In addition, Rabobank expectsgrowth of the euro course to 0.88 in relation to pound over the next three to six months. It also indicates a potential weakening of a pound relative to a single European currency.

UBSshares fears about the pound, although it expects thatthe crisis can be avoided. The bank believes thatbasic financial pressure will undermine the position of the pounds. As a result, UBS predicts that the coupleGBP/EUR will decrease to 1.1365 by the end of this year. This means that the euro, according to UBS, will be strengthened in relation to pound.

Japanese yen: expectations of reducing profitability spreads

RBC Capital Marketsit predicts significant changes in the foreign exchange market associated with reducing profitability spreads. The bank expects a coupleUSD/JPY will decrease to 140 at the end of 2025 and to 120 at the end of next year. Such a decrease indicates the expected strengthening of Japanese yen in relation to the US dollar.

New Zealand dollar: "Bear" forecast against the Australian dollar

Bank of Americasaves"Bear" forecast for Forex for the New Zealand dollar in relation to the Australian dollar. Despite the fact that the bank predicts the achievement of a coupleAUD/NZD level 1.15 to the end of 2026This means that the Australian dollar will be strengthened in relation to New Zealand.

General Trends and Conclusions

Analyzing these forecasts, several key trends can be distinguished:

  • Expectations of reducing bets in Canada and the USA:This can lead to a weakening of the US dollar and, as a result, to strengthen the Canadian dollar.
  • Pressure on the British pound:Several banks express fears regarding the prospects of the pound, waiting for its weakening both in relation to the US dollar and the euro. This may be associated with internal economic factors or a general mood in the market.
  • Strengthening japanese yen:The RBC Capital Markets forecast indicates the expected strengthening of the yen, which may be associated with a change in Japan's Bank or Global Economic Pilled Policy.
  • The advantage of the Australian dollar over New Zealand:Bank of America predicts the further strengthening of the Australian dollar in relation to New Zealand.

Важно помнить, что валютные рынки подвержены влиянию множества факторов, включая геополитические события, изменения в монетарной политике центральных банков, экономические данные и настроения инвесторов. Эти прогнозы представляют собой лишь одно из возможных видений будущего, и реальное развитие событий может отличаться. Тем не менее, они дают ценную информацию для понимания ожиданий ключевых игроков на финансовом рынке и помогают ориентироваться в текущей экономической ситуации.

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