Financial markets are known to be subject to constant fluctuations, and currency pairs are no exception. Currency forecasts from the world's leading banks provide valuable insight into possible directions for exchange rates, helping investors and market participants make informed decisions.
In this article, we will look at the latest forecasts from Wells Fargo, Societe Generale (SocGen), ANZ and Goldman Sachs regarding the dynamics of EUR/USD and GBP/USD.
EUR/USD: Revision of Expectations and Growth Potential
Wells Fargo, which previously forecast EUR/USD to peak at 1.19 by the end of 2025 followed by a decline to 1.13 by the end of 2026, has revised its expectations. The bank now expects the pair to peak at1.22 in the second quarter of 2026, and by the end of next year it will slightly decrease to1,20. This review indicates a more optimistic view of the prospects of the euro in the medium term.
Supporting a bull attitude towards the euro,Societe Generale (Socgen)It expects that any displacement of the focus of the US federal reserve system with the fight against inflation on stimulating economic growth will help strengthen EUR/USD. The bank predicts that the coupleovercome the level of 1.20 this yearand continue his growth to1.25 in the first half of next year. This forecast is based on the assumption of the softening of the FRS monetary policy, which can lead to a weakening of the US dollar.
GBP/USD: Optimism amid the weakening of the dollar
ANZpredicts someinstability in the markets of the UK and the world in the fourth quarter, with the possibility of sharp fluctuations. However, despite this, the bank expectspure GBP/USD course up to 1.39 to the end of this year. In the future, as the US dollar weakened, Anz predicts a further increase in the pair to1.43 by the end of next year. This forecast assumes that the fundamental factors contributing to the strengthening of the pound will prevail over short -term volatility.
GBP/EUR: medium -term risks for pounds
Unlike bull forecasts for GBP/USD,Goldman Sachsexpresses less confidence in a short -term decrease in the pound course to the euro. However, the bank still expectssignificant losses for pounds in the medium term for fundamental reasons. Goldman Sachs forecast assumesdown to 1.11 over the next 12 months. This suggests that while the pound could potentially strengthen against the dollar, its position against the euro could come under pressure due to deeper structural issues.
Conclusion
Анализ прогноз валют ведущих банков показывает неоднозначную картину для основных валютных пар. В то время как EUR/USD демонстрирует потенциал к росту, подкрепленный ожиданиями относительно политики ФРС, GBP/USD также имеет бычьи перспективы против доллара, хотя и с возможной краткосрочной волатильностью. Однако, в отношении пары GBP/EUR, Goldman Sachs предупреждает о среднесрочных рисках для фунта.
Важно помнить, что валютные рынки сложны и подвержены влиятельного влияния множества факторов, включая геополитические события, экономические данные, изменения в монетарной политике центральных банков и настроения инвесторов. Данные прогнозы следует рассматривать как ориентиры, а не как абсолютные предсказания. Инвесторам рекомендуется проводить собственный анализ и диверсифицировать свои портфели, учитывая потенциальные риски и возможности.
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